Markets spent last week aggressively chasing the AI-driven equity rally while largely ignoring geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite renewed uncertainty over a promised peace deal, stocks surged to new records while Dollar weakened broadly on strong risk appetite.
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There were several developments to note last week, but arguably the most important was that investors are optimistic that the Middle East war is winding down despite some violations of the ceasefire. June WTI fell by 7% to around $95 a barrel, after rising by more than 22% in the previous two weeks.
Sat, 09 May 2026 07:05:00 -0400
The price of oil prices slid below $100 this week (WTI benchmark) on optimism surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran deal, helping both bond and equity markets regain their footing. Canada's S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 0.6% on the week, though the gain was not enough to prevent it from surrendering its position as the world's seventh-largest equity market to South Korea (the KOSPI).
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The week ahead is relatively quiet for major Canadian data releases, but industry reports will offer important signals about the economy's momentum heading into spring.
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Colombia Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.78%, above expectations (0.73%) in April
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Colombia Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 5.68%, above expectations (5.63%) in April
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China: War risks reshape growth outlook – Rabobank
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Taiwan: Export slowdown but outlook bright – ING
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Indonesia: Growth momentum seen easing – Standard Chartered
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Natural gas shows early bullish reversal signals following a wedge breakout, with moving average alignment and resistance tests suggesting potential for improved upside momentum.
Fri, 08 May 2026 16:41:05 -0400
Natural gas futures remain rangebound as traders weigh bullish storage data against record U.S. production and uncertain weather demand.
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Brazil: IPCA shock complicates easing path – Wells Fargo
Fri, 08 May 2026 16:11:00 -0400
Speculators retreated from their largest bearish bets on the yen in two years, weekly data from a U.S. regulator showed on Friday, as suspected Japanese interventions worth an estimated $60 billion-plus jolted traders.
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Equities surge despite high oil and rate expectations. This outlook covers US CPI, the Fed Chair transition from Powell to Warsh, DXY's bearish technical setup, and the sustainability of the "risk-on" rally amidst geopolitical tensions.
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Asia FX: Divergent paths under Hormuz scenarios – MUFG
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Copper prices are approaching record highs as investors focus on long-term demand from artificial intelligence, power grids and clean energy, while supply risks grow due to sulfuric acid disruptions, weaker output in Chile and new strategic mining projects in Congo.
Fri, 08 May 2026 15:33:00 -0400
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions down to £-63.9K from previous £-60.6K
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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions dipped from previous 191.9K to 178.8K
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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $78.7K vs $71.9K
Fri, 08 May 2026 15:31:05 -0400
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €35.7K to €32.2K
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