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New Zealand Dollar edges lower below 0.6000 after weaker Retail Sales data

New Zealand Dollar edges lower below 0.6000 after weaker Retail Sales data

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:39:41 -0400

Oil News: Crude Oil Traders Eye Hormuz Traffic as Supply Risk Builds

Crude oil buyers hold control as limited Hormuz supply and strong refining margins keep sellers on the defensive.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:09:12 -0400

New Zealand Q2 retail sales have slowed much worse than expected

New Zealand Retail Sales Q2 2026: +3.3% y/y prior +4.5% -0.5% q/q expected +0.1%, prior +0.9% NZD is little changed circa 0.5973 Background here.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:50:30 -0400

New Zealand Retail Sales fall 0.5% QoQ in Q2, vs 0.1 expected

New Zealand Retail Sales fall 0.5% QoQ in Q2, vs 0.1 expected

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:49:41 -0400

New Zealand Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ) declined to 0.7% in 2Q from previous 1%

New Zealand Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ) declined to 0.7% in 2Q from previous 1%

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:48:01 -0400

New Zealand Retail Sales (QoQ) registered at -0.5%, below expectations (0.1%) in 2Q

New Zealand Retail Sales (QoQ) registered at -0.5%, below expectations (0.1%) in 2Q

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:47:32 -0400

New Zealand Retail Sales (QoQ) above expectations (0.1%) in 2Q: Actual (0.7%)

New Zealand Retail Sales (QoQ) above expectations (0.1%) in 2Q: Actual (0.7%)

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:47:15 -0400

COT Report - August 21, 2026

COT Report - August 21, 2026

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45:15 -0400

Retail sales data due from New Zealand imminently

New Zealand data soon. Despite the pick up in retail sales in Q1 today's data is expected to be much slower.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:38:20 -0400

US-Canada trade talks collapse as 50% tariffs take effect, Carney vows retaliation

The breakdown reintroduces cross-border trade risk into North American markets just as investors had begun pricing in a de-escalation after weeks of negotiation. The Canadian dollar has come under renewed pressure, with commentary pointing to a slide toward the low 70s against the US dollar, though that figure should be checked against a primary data feed rather than taken at face value.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 16:07:39 -0400

Weekly column: US debt tops forty trillion as treasury buybacks spark precious metals rally

Weekly column: US debt tops forty trillion as treasury buybacks spark precious metals rally

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 13:51:35 -0400

Japanese Yen Forecast: September BoJ Hike May Not Be Enough

Yen exchange rates have surrendered most intervention-led gains, leaving September's BoJ decision and guidance on further tightening as the crucial tests. The US Dollar to Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) exchange rate ended e week at 158.98, within touching distance of the 160 level despite the exceptional intervention conducted jointly by Japan.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 02:15:00 -0400

Pound Sterling's Political Story Has Flipped, Says UBS

Pound Sterling forecasts see a climb to 1.40 by December as UK political risks ease, short positions unwind and Fed hike expectations fade. The Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate finished Friday at 1.3645 after reaching an August high of 1.3675, leaving Sterling 0.82% higher over five sessions.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 01:45:00 -0400

Euro Forecast: ING Says Soft Dollar Story Keeps 1.1700 in Play

Currency analysts at ING favour a benign, risk-friendly US Dollar decline and see the EUR/USD rate holding the 1.1670-1.1710 area before another attempt higher. The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate closed Friday at 1.1677, still 0.92% higher over five sessions despite giving back part of its midweek advance.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 01:45:00 -0400

Interest Rate Forecast: How a BOJ September Rate Hike Could Impact Yen Pairs

Japan's rising inflation strengthens the case for a September BOJ rate hike, while wide global rate gaps keep the major yen crosses supported.

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:26:35 -0400

Oil Price Forecast: Hormuz Risks Keep $90-$100 Upside in Play

Unresolved US-Iran tensions are keeping oil prices elevated, with WTI ending the week near $86.65 as Hormuz risks persist. Oil prices remained firmly supported into the weekend as the US-Iran confrontation showed little sign of easing and disruption around the Strait of Hormuz continued to restrict energy flows.

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 17:15:00 -0400

Next chapter of U.S.-Canada Trade War: What We Know and Don't About Section 338 Tariffs

With no last-minute deal to avoid new section 338 tariffs, new tariffs have now officially taken effect on another subset of U.S. imports from Canada.

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 10:33:24 -0400

CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish

CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 09:19:24 -0400

Week Ahead: Warsh at Jackson Hole

Introduced by the Nobel-prize winning economist Paul Samuelson in the late 1930s, "reveal preferences" says to look at what people are actually doing to determine their true preferences rather than what they say. Applying this to the US now suggests the administration is worried about the US Treasury market.

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 07:03:12 -0400

Australian Dollar Forecast: MUFG Sees a Yield Edge for AUD Over NZD

Currency analysts at MUFG see relative rate support favouring the Australian dollar, although stretched New Zealand dollar shorts create reversal risk. The Australian Dollar to New Zealand Dollar (AUD/NZD) exchange rate enters the final week of August with markets pricing markedly different tightening paths across the Tasman.

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 03:00:00 -0400

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