外国為替ニュース

Flashlight for the December FOMC Blackout Period: A Contentious Cut

We expect the FOMC to proceed with returning policy toward a more neutral stance and reduce the fed funds rate by another 25 bps to 3.50%-3.75% at its upcoming meeting on December 9-10. Although the FOMC will not have the October and November jobs report at this meeting as initially planned, the latest available labor market data suggest that conditions have continued to slowly soften.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 10:46:38 -0500

Polish central bank could go into wait-and-see mode, governor says

The Polish Monetary Policy Council (MPC) will probably remain in a wait-and-see mode for a while and could return to interest rate cuts later, central bank Governor Adam Glapinski said on Thursday after the bank cut the main interest rate.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 10:07:05 -0500

Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a came in at 48.4, below expectations (53.6) in November

Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a came in at 48.4, below expectations (53.6) in November

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 10:00:35 -0500

United States Factory Orders (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.5%) in September

United States Factory Orders (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.5%) in September

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 10:00:34 -0500

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Weakens as Jobless Claims and PMI Data Drive Bearish Fed Outlook

DXY slides as Fed rate-cut bets grow, jobless claims fall, and PMI data steady. Sellers target lower levels while global currencies strengthen against the dollar.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:56:22 -0500

Natural Gas Price Outlook – Natural Gas Continues to Threaten a Massive Breakout

Natural gas briefly pushes above $5 before stalling, with seasonal strength and cold weather supporting demand. A pullback toward $5 or slightly below may offer entries, while the broader winter cycle still favors bullishness before spring weakness.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:55:13 -0500

EUR gains as Germany pension reform set to pass – Rabobank

EUR gains as Germany pension reform set to pass – Rabobank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:48:53 -0500

JPY leads G10 as BoJ hike bets grow – Scotiabank

JPY leads G10 as BoJ hike bets grow – Scotiabank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:36:43 -0500

GBP pushes toward late-October highs – Scotiabank

GBP pushes toward late-October highs – Scotiabank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:23:21 -0500

EUR holds gains as Fed/ECB spread widens – Scotiabank

EUR holds gains as Fed/ECB spread widens – Scotiabank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:16:33 -0500

Federal Reserve to cut the funds rate by 25bps on December 10 - Reuters poll

Federal Reserve to cut the funds rate by 25bps on December 10 - Reuters poll

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:06:56 -0500

Muted Reaction to Strong US Claims; Japan's Bond Markets Flash Caution

Global markets have steadied heading into US session, with equity futures pointing to a flat open after yesterday's strong rally. Early optimism from Japan and Europe faded through the day, leaving investors cautious but not materially risk-off.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 09:03:33 -0500

CAD shrugs off renewed USMCA withdrawal threat – Scotiabank

CAD shrugs off renewed USMCA withdrawal threat – Scotiabank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:57:45 -0500

USD softens as weak jobs data reinforce dovish Fed risks – Scotiabank

USD softens as weak jobs data reinforce dovish Fed risks – Scotiabank

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:52:26 -0500

Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) beats Q4 earnings and revenue estimates

Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) beats Q4 earnings and revenue estimates

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:40:18 -0500

US jobless claims fall sharply to 191k, lowest since 2022

US initial jobless claims fell sharply by -27k to 191k in the week ending November 29, far below expectations of 220k, and marking the lowest level since September 2022. The four-week moving average also by -9k eased to 215k.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:39:44 -0500

US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 191K last week

US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 191K last week

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:34:20 -0500

United States Continuing Jobless Claims: 1.939M (November 21) vs previous 1.96M

United States Continuing Jobless Claims: 1.939M (November 21) vs previous 1.96M

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:30:52 -0500

US initial jobless claims 191K versus 220K estimate

Prior week 216K initial jobless claims 191K. This is the lowest level for initial claims since September 24, 2022 when it was 189,000.

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:30:18 -0500

United States Initial Jobless Claims registered at 191K, below expectations (220K) in November 28

United States Initial Jobless Claims registered at 191K, below expectations (220K) in November 28

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 08:30:06 -0500

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